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Published editionSuper 5 · Monday, 9 November
Five evidence‑led picks across five fixtures
Selections are based on recent form, goal metrics and injury news from the supplied dossier. Probabilities are conservative estimates reflecting market odds and on‑field data.
Combined odds23.12Target 2.00
Match and selection details5 picks · 0 passes
01
MarketMatch result (1X2)LANUS WINLanús are 10th, unbeaten in eight and out‑shoot Córdoba (0.7 gpm). Their higher scoring rate (1.2 gpm) and better away record justify a 50% win probability despite the 1.75 odds.
Estimated chance55.0%Bookmaker: 57.1%
Odds1.75Unibet (UK)
02
MarketMatch result (1X2)CEARÁ WINCeará sit 5th with a 2‑game winning streak and a solid defensive record (0.9 cpm). América Mineiro lack recent momentum, supporting a slight edge for Ceará at 1.9 odds.
Estimated chance52.0%Bookmaker: 52.6%
Odds1.90Unibet (UK)
03
MarketMatch result (1X2)GOIÁS WINGoiás are 4th, strong at home (1.6 gpm, 0.8 cpm) and have won 3 of their last 5. Ponte Preta’s away form is weak, making a Goiás win at 1.34 odds a high‑probability pick.
Estimated chance60.0%Bookmaker: 74.6%
Odds1.34Smarkets
04
MarketMatch result (1X2)VÅLERENGA WINVålerenga are 5th, good away defensive stats (0.8 cpm) and recent wins. Kristiansund struggle offensively (0.9 gpm). The 2.38 odds reflect a modest underdog status, but the data supports a near‑even chance.
Estimated chance45.0%Bookmaker: 42.0%
Odds2.38Betfair
05
MarketMatch result (1X2)PLYMOUTH PARKWAY FC WINPlymouth Parkway are unbeaten at home (6 matches) in a low‑tier cup tie. Berkhamsted have a poorer away record. The 2.18 odds give a reasonable value for a home‑side win.
Estimated chance44.0%Bookmaker: 45.9%
Odds2.18Betfair